Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | -11.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.1% | 12.9% | -10.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -14 (68-82). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent * | 40 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23 | +5.4 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | +9.7 |
| Dillan Shaw * | 37 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Mikey Lewis * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Harry Wessels * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Andrew McKeever | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 23 | +11.1 |
| Liam Campbell | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.8 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Tyrone Riley IV * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +18.4 |
| David Fuchs * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -12.7 |
| Junjie Wang * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -17.4 |
| Legend Smiley * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Vukasin Masic | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Veniamin Abosi | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +9.0 |
| Saba Gigiberia | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Aidan Braccia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
* = starter