Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +17 (93-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arington | 34 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -11.0 |
| Will Heimbrodt | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | -9.4 |
| Brayden Maldonado | 33 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | -9.5 |
| J. Yeo | 32 | 9-13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 16 | -16.7 |
| Houran Dan | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Austin Maurer | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -2.4 |
| John Christofilis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Miles Amos | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.7 |
| Jojo Murphy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Brock Felder | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +16.8 |
| Dillan Shaw | 39 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | +20.9 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 39 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 29 | +18.5 |
| Mikey Lewis | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +13.5 |
| Harry Wessels | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +11.0 |
| Andrew McKeever | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | +4.1 |
| Liam Campbell | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Rory Hawke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
* = starter