Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +17 (93-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arington | 34 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -11.0 |
| W. Heimbrodt | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | -9.4 |
| B. Maldonado | 33 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | -9.5 |
| J. Yeo | 32 | 9-13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 16 | -16.7 |
| H. Dan | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.5 |
| A. Maurer | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -2.4 |
| J. Christofilis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
| M. Amos | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -9.7 |
| J. Murphy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| B. Felder | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dent | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +16.8 |
| D. Shaw | 39 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | +20.9 |
| P. Murauskas | 39 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 29 | +18.5 |
| M. Lewis | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +13.5 |
| H. Wessels | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +11.0 |
| A. McKeever | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | +4.1 |
| L. Campbell | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.1 |
| R. Hawke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
* = starter