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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Foxwell 40 7-13 1-6 5-7 2 6 0 0 2 20 13 -8.8
Matus Hronsky 29 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 -3.4
Mikah Ballew 28 1-7 0-4 5-5 1 0 0 0 3 7 -2 -2.2
Garrett Nuckolls 28 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 0 1 -11.8
Cameron Williams 26 8-10 2-3 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 21 18 +7.4
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 21 5-8 1-3 1-1 4 2 1 0 2 12 9 -
James O'Donnell 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 1 -1 +2.3
Dante Censori-Hercules 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -7.7
Kelson Gebbers 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.0

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Beasley 37 5-14 1-4 3-5 6 4 3 0 2 14 11 +18.2
Tyrone Riley IV 34 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 0 +7.9
Veniamin Abosi 29 4-5 3-4 5-6 9 3 0 0 0 16 23 +2.1
Legend Smiley 22 2-8 1-6 3-3 0 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -2.8
David Fuchs 21 4-10 1-3 6-14 10 0 1 1 3 15 14 -13.6
Guillermo Diaz Graham 19 2-3 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 8 +23.5
Vukasin Masic 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 +2.5
Saba Gigiberia 10 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 5 9 +8.7
Junjie Wang 7 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -9.2
Aidan Braccia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +6.8

* = starter