Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -14.9 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Matus Hronsky | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -14.7 |
| Cameron Williams | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -12.2 |
| James O'Donnell | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Garrett Nuckolls | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9.7 |
| Mikah Ballew | 16 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -17.6 |
| Kelson Gebbers | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.7 |
| NaVaughn Long | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Preston Lee | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.2 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 36 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +18.5 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 32 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | +12.8 |
| Harry Wessels | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Mikey Lewis | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +14.6 |
| Rory Hawke | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Andrew McKeever | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +10.0 |
| Dillan Shaw | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Liam Campbell | 13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Tony Duckett | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Cade Bennett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
* = starter