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2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 91.2% 8.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 93.1% 6.9% - ✓
Margin 97.3% 2.7% -19.7 ✓ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 82.9% 17.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - ✓

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -27 (45-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joshua Dent 38 4-8 1-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 11 6 +19.0
Dillan Shaw 34 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 3 1 0 7 8 +10.7
Paulius Murauskas 29 8-15 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 19 9 +18.0
Andrew McKeever 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 10 3 2 0 3 8 15 +19.8
Mikey Lewis 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 0 +2.4
Harry Wessels 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 +3.8
Liam Campbell 19 2-3 1-2 4-4 1 0 2 0 0 9 9 +15.2
Rory Hawke 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 +6.3
Mantas Juzenas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 +1.4
Tony Duckett 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 +7.6
Cade Bennett 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 +3.7
Oliver Faubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Styles Phipps 32 4-9 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 8 4 -13.5
D. Dožic 31 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 3 -
Aaron Clark 29 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 7 1 -14.6
Javon Cooley 25 3-10 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 1 -11.7
Yonatan Levy 23 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 0 5 -16.4
P. Stošic 19 3-6 0-1 2-3 1 0 1 1 0 8 5 -
Luka Vudragovic 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 2 -1.8
Stefan Cicic 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -12.0
David Mager 8 1-5 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -11.2
Pasha Shemirani 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.7
Vladimir Sudar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8

* = starter