Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Riordan | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| A. Madol | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| O. Leung | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Lear | 31 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Dawkins | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M.G. Talle | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Grant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Donovan | 34 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Dunn | 27 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Bruyndoncx | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Timmerson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| I. Garcia Monje | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| E. Alvarez Castellanos | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Strausz | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| E. Bessell | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Lienafa | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Ziaka | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Dauer | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter