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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hawa Komara 36 2-4 0-0 0-0 13 1 2 0 3 4 13 -0.2
Z. Walton 36 3-20 0-5 3-3 6 2 2 2 4 9 -3 +2.5
K. Harris 33 5-16 2-6 3-3 0 3 0 0 1 15 1 -9.2
J. Brown 26 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 0 -14.6
M. Amoateng 26 7-12 1-3 2-3 2 5 2 0 3 17 11 -2.9
MJ Johnson 22 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 8 -8.3
L. Volker 21 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -16.3

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Sweeney 40 6-13 2-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 5 16 7 +14.6
M. Doogan 39 7-16 2-9 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 20 6 +15.8
R. Ullstrom 38 5-9 2-3 6-7 6 2 0 1 0 18 18 +23.0
S. Dewey 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 +12.1
A. Newell 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 5 6 +9.0
T. Simon 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 5 8 +0.3
A. Persichetti 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +0.6
R. Wright 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 3 +0.8
S. Campbell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter