Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 36 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +12.0 |
| N. Lear | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +11.9 |
| A. Madol | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +7.8 |
| M. O'Riordan | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +0.3 |
| J. Johnson | 23 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +5.4 |
| O. Leung | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +11.8 |
| F. Ibrahim | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +15.4 |
| M. Johnson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3.0 |
| S. Dawkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| M.G. Talle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Casey | 40 | 12-20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 15 | -2.9 |
| R. Stokes | 35 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -15.2 |
| A. Snead | 32 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -7.1 |
| F. Stinson | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -0.9 |
| J. Jekot | 27 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -9.7 |
| E. Knouse | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -8.6 |
| K. Bethea | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
| C. Kay | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10.1 |
| K. Griffin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.5 |
* = starter