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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Stephens 36 7-12 0-3 4-5 3 4 2 0 4 18 11 +12.0
N. Lear 30 6-10 0-0 2-2 2 7 0 0 1 14 12 +11.9
A. Madol 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 0 4 +7.8
M. O'Riordan 24 4-9 1-4 1-1 9 1 1 1 1 10 12 +0.3
J. Johnson 23 5-6 5-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 15 11 +5.4
O. Leung 18 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 8 2 +11.8
F. Ibrahim 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 1 5 8 +15.4
M. Johnson 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 +3.0
S. Dawkins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.9
M.G. Talle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.5

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Casey 40 12-20 3-8 2-2 7 1 2 0 4 29 15 -2.9
R. Stokes 35 3-11 1-3 2-3 3 4 2 0 1 9 6 -15.2
A. Snead 32 2-10 0-2 0-2 2 4 1 0 1 4 0 -7.1
F. Stinson 31 5-10 0-1 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 11 8 -0.9
J. Jekot 27 5-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 11 8 -9.7
E. Knouse 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 5 -8.6
K. Bethea 10 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.3
C. Kay 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -10.1
K. Griffin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1.5

* = starter