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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 90.9% 9.1% -12.7 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% -
Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9 (59-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Donovan 39 4-8 4-7 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 13 4 -19.4
C. Dunn 39 7-20 2-12 2-3 10 2 2 1 1 18 12 -17.2
K. Bruyndoncx 32 3-12 1-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 -2 -15.4
E. Alvarez Castellanos 26 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 4 -8.5
C. Lienafa 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 4 4 -8.2
I. Garcia Monje 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 2 -15.2
A. Ziaka 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 -6.7
J. Timmerson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2.0
E. Bessell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.2
S. Dauer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Pettinelli 35 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 8 7 +14.1
L. Drake 35 5-17 1-4 3-4 8 2 1 1 3 14 6 +20.2
G. Robinson 31 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 8 11 +10.9
E. MacDonough 27 1-6 1-6 3-4 3 0 2 0 1 6 4 +19.6
A. Parker 21 3-7 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 6 5 +14.1
K. Buckley 19 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 8 7 +8.9
K. Krysztof 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 +1.3
O. DiFranco 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 6 +3.5
B. Boyd 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.3
B. Barr-Buday 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 +5.6

* = starter