Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +8 (59-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Donovan | 39 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8.6 |
| C. Dunn | 36 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | -4.3 |
| K. Bruyndoncx | 32 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -19.3 |
| E. Alvarez Castellanos | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +9.3 |
| C. Lienafa | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5.8 |
| A. Ziaka | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.5 |
| I. Garcia Monje | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7.4 |
| E. Strausz | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| J. Timmerson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| E. Bessell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Casey | 36 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | +21.4 |
| A. Snead | 32 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +15.4 |
| J. Jekot | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +4.0 |
| F. Stinson | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +7.3 |
| R. Stokes | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -4.4 |
| K. Bethea | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6.9 |
| C. Kay | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.5 |
| K. Griffin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +6.3 |
| E. Knouse | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| M. Jägerskog | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.5 |
* = starter