Model Predictions
| Model | Rhode Island Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.5% | 11.5% | -11.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mbu | 34 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | +20.1 |
| I. Debroise | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +6.1 |
| B. Gray | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -6.6 |
| S. Vital | 33 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| A. Syla | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +6.6 |
| V. Harris | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +16.0 |
| T. Habib | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +10.9 |
| A. Michel | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.3 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -8.6 |
| O. Leung | 31 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -4.1 |
| N. Lear | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -14.9 |
| A. Madol | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -2.6 |
| F. Ibrahim | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -8.0 |
| S. Dawkins | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +3.4 |
| M. O'Riordan | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.7 |
| M. Johnson | 11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -1.5 |
| M.G. Talle | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -8.4 |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
* = starter