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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% - βœ—
Margin 86.9% 13.1% -10.4 βœ— (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 92.0% 8.0% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 70.1% 29.9% - βœ—

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9 (57-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Casey 39 4-14 1-9 6-7 8 2 3 0 4 15 10 -3.0
R. Stokes 33 6-15 3-8 5-6 5 0 3 0 4 20 9 -14.6
A. Snead 32 3-7 0-2 0-2 7 1 3 0 4 6 6 -8.0
K. Bethea 23 0-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 3 0 0 2 2 -1.9
C. Kay 22 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 1 0 2 5 +9.0
F. Stinson 19 1-3 0-1 1-4 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -15.3
E. Knouse 14 0-7 0-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -6 -7.7
M. JΓ€gerskog 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 5 -7.3
K. Griffin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.0

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Pettinelli 33 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 8 6 +14.1
A. Parker 30 4-12 0-0 3-3 10 4 4 1 2 11 16 +12.0
E. MacDonough 29 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 5 1 +5.9
G. Robinson 26 2-4 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 3 1 5 10 -16.3
M. Heise 25 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 5 7 2 +12.1
L. Drake 22 4-8 1-3 1-2 5 3 2 0 3 10 9 +3.2
B. Barr-Buday 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 6 4 +22.1
B. Boyd 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 2 +12.2
O. DiFranco 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.9

* = starter