Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.3% | 5.7% | -15.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sweeney | 37 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 26 | -20.2 |
| M. Doogan | 36 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -17.1 |
| R. Ullstrom | 32 | 9-11 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | -11.8 |
| S. Dewey | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -15.7 |
| A. Newell | 19 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -13.6 |
| R. Wright | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5.7 |
| T. Simon | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.8 |
| A. Persichetti | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| P. Richard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| A. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| J. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| S. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 35 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +8.2 |
| F. Ibrahim | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +10.2 |
| A. Madol | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +14.3 |
| O. Leung | 22 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +16.5 |
| N. Lear | 21 | 4-19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -5 | +19.8 |
| M.G. Talle | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | +7.7 |
| M. O'Riordan | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +16.2 |
| J. Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +6.6 |
| S. Dawkins | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +13.6 |
| M. Johnson | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +4.4 |
| E. Monyek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter