Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -8 (58-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +14.4 |
| N. Lear | 31 | 11-22 | 1-6 | 7-12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 14 | +0.7 |
| A. Madol | 28 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| O. Leung | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +3.2 |
| M. O'Riordan | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +1.2 |
| F. Ibrahim | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -3.5 |
| S. Dawkins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -14.5 |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| M. Johnson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +2.4 |
| M.G. Talle | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Easley | 33 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +4.9 |
| L. Edwards | 30 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +7.6 |
| O. Niankan | 27 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +19.2 |
| T. Morgan | 26 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.6 |
| P. Omoshola | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +0.3 |
| A. Veljovic | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -4.3 |
| K. Berry | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -15.1 |
| E. Wilson-Saltos | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +6.1 |
| M. Hill | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| L. Liley | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
* = starter