Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kinas | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -6.6 |
| A. Bessette | 35 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | -7.3 |
| B. Vaughn | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +3.6 |
| A. Mobley | 29 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +10.8 |
| K. Chivers | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.4 |
| R. Mercille | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +5.3 |
| A. Deptula | 13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -10.7 |
| R. Grandberry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.4 |
| N. Dickman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| D. Matus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lear | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 6 | +3.3 |
| A. Madol | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 10 | +17.4 |
| N. Stephens | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +25.5 |
| O. Leung | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -1.7 |
| M. O'Riordan | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.7 |
| F. Ibrahim | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -2.8 |
| J. Johnson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -12.6 |
| S. Dawkins | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4.5 |
| M. Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -3.4 |
| M.G. Talle | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -11.4 |
| K. Grant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.6 |
* = starter