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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 71.2% 28.8% -
Bradley-Terry 84.3% 15.7% -
Margin 97.2% 2.8% -19.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Log Adjusted 96.3% 3.7% -
Points Off/Def 84.0% 16.0% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -20 (60-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Sweeney 31 4-10 3-7 0-0 3 6 0 0 3 11 7 +6.1
M. Doogan 30 8-17 2-8 0-0 7 3 1 1 4 18 9 +2.5
A. Newell 29 3-8 1-2 0-0 7 6 5 0 2 7 15 +1.5
R. Ullstrom 24 5-7 3-4 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 13 14 +10.8
A. Persichetti 22 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 0 1 +8.6
S. Dewey 21 6-7 2-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 16 10 +21.6
T. Simon 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 8 +7.2
R. Wright 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 +14.8
S. Campbell 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +0.9
P. Richard 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.2
A. Scott 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.0
J. Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. MacDonough 31 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 6 -14.8
L. Drake 30 7-13 2-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 16 12 +1.9
M. Pettinelli 29 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 1 2 2 -7.0
A. Parker 25 7-14 0-4 4-5 6 0 5 0 4 18 11 -12.1
M. Heise 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 4 3 -18.6
I. Djikanovic 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 +1.1
B. Barr-Buday 13 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 0 -10.3
K. Buckley 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.1
G. Robinson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -3.2
K. Krysztof 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 +2.6
B. Boyd 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3.7
O. DiFranco 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.8

* = starter