Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | +27.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +30 (90-60). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Sheldon * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 30 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Javan Simmons * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | -3.1 |
| JJ Kelly * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Kiir Kuany | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.7 |
| Jesse Burris | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -9.7 |
| Ayden Evans | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Jordan Fisher | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McKeever * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +6.8 |
| Joshua Dent * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Mikey Lewis * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Kevin Gad * | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Liam Campbell | 21 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | -0.7 |
| Dillan Shaw | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Tony Duckett | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Rory Hawke | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Harry Wessels | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.3 |
| Cade Bennett | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Oliver Faubert | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
* = starter