Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats -4 (85-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Jackson | 32 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Christian Harmon | 29 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joey Chammaa | 26 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.1 |
| K. Hayman | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Jalen Hampton | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Aly Tounkara | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +0.1 |
| TJ Caldwell | 11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| R. Smith | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.2 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke | 39 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 36 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Aidan Hadaway | 35 | 12-16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 20 | -0.2 |
| Elijah Elliott | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Javan Simmons | 24 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Dior Conners | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Jalen Breath | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Kiir Kuany | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| JJ Kelly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter