Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 40 | 4-15 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 4 | -4.6 |
| DeShawn Gory | 37 | 12-19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 25 | -2.4 |
| Wilson Jacques | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -1.1 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Bastien Rieber | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +0.8 |
| DJ Stickman | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -10.5 |
| Jac Mani | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -9.6 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomislav Buljan | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +12.5 |
| Luke Haupt | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +8.9 |
| Jake Hall | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Uriah Tenette | 28 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -2.9 |
| Antonio Chol | 27 | 3-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Tajavis Miller | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Deyton Albury | 22 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +9.3 |
| JT Rock | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.1 |
| M. Vicentic | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
* = starter