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2026-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% - ✓
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 ✓ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Heidbreder 40 2-11 0-6 2-2 1 4 3 0 3 6 0 +13.0
DeShawn Gory 37 8-13 0-1 0-4 13 0 0 0 2 16 14 +10.4
Zaon Collins 36 6-8 0-1 2-2 6 7 2 0 3 14 18 +12.0
Wilson Jacques 33 2-6 0-0 4-4 10 5 1 0 2 8 16 +29.7
Cameron Faas 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 7 +13.6
David Douglas Jr. 14 4-5 3-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 13 9 +5.1
Makhan Diouf 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 2 2 -16.2
Bastien Rieber 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.9
Matteo Porto 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
DJ Stickman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jermaine Washington 38 4-14 2-8 0-0 2 6 3 0 4 10 3 -10.7
Melvin Bell Jr. 37 5-7 2-3 4-5 6 3 1 0 0 16 19 -
Pasha Goodarzi 27 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -11.6
Adrian Myers 26 2-8 1-5 1-2 2 2 1 1 0 6 4 -9.0
Sadraque NgaNga 20 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -4.3
Japhet Moupadele 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 +0.8
Ben Roseborough 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 5 4 +4.5
Colby Garland 10 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -8.2
Douglas Langford 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -14.4
Marcus Overstreet 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +6.3

* = starter