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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.2% 23.8% - โœ“
Margin 66.8% 33.2% -3.8 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Price 32 5-10 0-1 5-6 9 1 4 4 3 15 20 +3.9
Vaughn Weems 26 4-8 3-6 2-2 6 2 1 2 1 13 15 +6.7
Tyler Rolison 24 6-11 0-1 4-5 0 2 2 0 0 16 9 +4.6
Corey Camper Jr. 23 2-7 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 1 1 6 4 -0.0
Peyton White 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -0.8
Kaleb Lowery 18 3-3 1-1 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 7 9 -0.2
Chuck Bailey III 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -2.1
Tayshawn Comer 17 1-8 0-3 0-2 3 3 0 0 3 2 -3 -4.6
Myles Walker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4
Jeriah Coleman 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.3
Amire Robinson 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.2
Ethan Croley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Heidbreder 38 9-19 5-9 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 25 10 +3.0
Zaon Collins 35 4-8 0-1 1-2 4 7 1 0 4 9 9 +0.5
Wilson Jacques 33 3-9 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 0 4 8 9 +3.1
DeShawn Gory 31 5-7 1-1 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 14 12 -3.3
Cameron Faas 25 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 8 8 +1.9
David Douglas Jr. 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.9
Bastien Rieber 10 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 -1 +3.9
Gasper Kocevar 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1.5
DJ Stickman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.2
Makhan Diouf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter