Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +12 (84-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 39 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Wilson Jacques | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | +4.1 |
| Zaon Collins | 32 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | -10.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -4.0 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 22 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +13.6 |
| DJ Stickman | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.7 |
| DeShawn Gory | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -7.3 |
| Bastien Rieber | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8.7 |
| Gasper Kocevar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Jac Mani | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrin Jones | 38 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | +6.7 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 38 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 25 | +3.2 |
| Kimani Hamilton | 37 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +6.0 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. | 29 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +10.1 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Issac Williamson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -15.3 |
| Emmanuel Stephen | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Walter Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Naas Cunningham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
* = starter