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2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs San Diego Toreros Spread Result
Elo 81.1% 18.9% -
Bradley-Terry 83.7% 16.3% -
Margin 97.1% 2.9% -19.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 80.7% 19.3% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Log Adjusted 96.4% 3.6% -
Points Off/Def 83.9% 16.1% -

Actual: San Diego Toreros -10 (56-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Turner 34 1-10 0-3 6-6 3 4 0 0 1 8 4 -
I. Bettencourt 27 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 4 4 -
L. Whittaker 26 8-11 1-1 2-2 12 1 3 1 4 19 21 -
Z. Aokuso 26 5-9 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 4 12 3 -
J. Haile 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
T. Smith 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 6 7 -
T. Gardner 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
S. Lichtie 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 3 2 4 -
C. Osarobo 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
P. Lofing 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Wilson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Dalan 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ray 40 11-23 0-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 6 25 2 -
O. Owens 38 5-15 1-7 3-6 11 7 1 0 4 14 14 -
L. Amor 38 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
H. Holley 28 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 8 7 -
M. Tharpe 23 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
E. Ruse 19 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 2 4 -
D. Moore 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
J. Ajayi 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter