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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% +11.8 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.1 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +13 (82-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michelle Ugwah 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Candy Edokpaigbe * 39 9-19 0-2 6-9 8 0 3 0 2 24 14 -10.7
Aina Cargol * 34 5-11 0-3 3-4 2 6 1 0 3 13 8 -2.0
Natasa Tausova * 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 4 0 1 7 10 +2.0
Mara Neira * 28 5-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 12 5 -0.6
N. Mourio * 27 4-10 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 8 5 -6.5
Sol Castro 13 0-2 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -5.5
Paula Tirado 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 2 2 0 -13.2
Olivia Williams 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -10.1
Meghan McIntyre 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.7
Amy Pateman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allie Turner * 35 7-15 5-8 6-6 5 5 1 2 3 25 20 +15.4
Lauren Whittaker * 29 10-13 3-3 3-3 11 3 1 0 2 26 26 +13.4
Zeryhia Aokuso * 28 1-5 1-1 6-8 2 2 1 0 2 9 7 +0.6
Taylor Smith * 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 2 3 -7.0
Ines Bettencourt * 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -6.6
Teryn Gardner 25 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 5 5 +19.3
Jaiden Haile 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 8 +22.4
Sierra Lichtie 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.9
Christabel Osarobo 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 +9.5
Paige Lofing 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.5
Julia Wilson 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 1 -1.0

* = starter