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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Norfolk State Spartans James Madison Dukes Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - ✓
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 ✓ (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - ✓

Actual: James Madison Dukes +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony McComb III 37 2-9 1-1 4-4 6 0 1 1 4 9 4 -2.7
Keyontae Lewis 32 6-8 0-0 1-4 5 1 0 1 2 13 10 -5.2
Elijah Jamison 30 7-13 1-2 2-3 0 2 0 0 3 17 3 -5.5
Devon Ellis 28 8-9 1-1 0-2 8 1 0 1 3 17 15 -5.4
Jordan Leaks 26 2-6 0-4 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 4 9 -8.2
My'kel Jenkins 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 2 4 -1.7
Dian Wright-Forde 13 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -3.5
Adrean Newton 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -0.7
Melo Baines 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9
Jaquel Morris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin McBride 32 12-21 3-7 6-7 8 0 2 0 1 33 21 +7.7
Cliff Davis 31 2-10 1-9 0-0 0 3 4 0 1 5 1 +8.1
Eddie Ricks III 30 4-8 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 8 5 +2.0
Bradley Douglas 29 2-4 2-4 0-4 3 6 1 0 0 6 12 +0.7
Gabe Newhof 16 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 -1.7
Preston Fowler 16 2-5 2-5 1-3 1 0 1 0 0 7 4 +3.4
Christian Brown 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 2 4 -
Eli Wilborn 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 0 1 8 +8.3
Paul Lewis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 +5.5
Paul Jones III 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 -1.1
Justin Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter