Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Bucknell Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bucknell Bison -18 (57-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mayock | 34 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 30 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +16.7 |
| Madden Collins | 26 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Greg Jones | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Julen Iturbe | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +10.2 |
| Kade Sebastian | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +5.6 |
| Chris Eagan | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Dean Hogans | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Luke Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon Dörries | 38 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | -14.7 |
| Achile Spadone | 38 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | -12.6 |
| Aleksander Pachucki | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -11.0 |
| Pat Curtin | 29 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Quin Berger | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -14.7 |
| Patrick O'Brien | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Jacob Meachem | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.7 |
| Jayden Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Grgur Brcic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Matt Lange | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Kellen Welch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter