Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox | 37 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | -3.3 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Ben Tweedy | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -15.5 |
| S. Wright | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -8.3 |
| J. Ahayere | 23 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -5.3 |
| K. Carlesimo | 22 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| C. Wright | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +6.0 |
| Ethan Brown | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4.0 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +14.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 28 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +8.1 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 26 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -8.8 |
| Julen Iturbe | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Madden Collins | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 20 | +6.1 |
| Kade Sebastian | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Chris Eagan | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Luke Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter