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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Mayock 31 4-7 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 4 -3.7
Greg Jones 31 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 4 3 -7.7
Geoff Sprouse 30 5-8 4-6 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 14 8 -7.9
Julen Iturbe 29 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 9 7 -2.9
Kade Sebastian 28 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 +5.5
Wyatt Nausadis 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 8 5 -10.8
Madden Collins 14 2-7 0-1 1-3 8 5 0 0 0 5 11 +7.2
Chris Eagan 11 4-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 8 -1 +1.1
Luke Brown 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 +11.1

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Tweedy 32 6-10 2-5 5-8 3 2 1 0 0 19 15 +6.4
Jalen Cox 28 2-6 0-0 0-2 3 5 0 0 2 4 4 +6.7
J. Ahayere 28 2-5 0-1 4-4 6 1 2 0 3 8 9 +3.6
K. Carlesimo 25 1-8 0-5 2-2 6 3 1 0 3 4 3 -8.6
Andrew Alekseyenko 24 5-9 1-1 2-5 7 2 0 0 0 13 13 +10.5
S. Wright 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 5 +4.7
Ayomi Odetoyinbo 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 9 -3.2
Brady Cummins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.3
Ethan Brown 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -6.1

* = starter