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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mayock 31 4-7 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 4 -3.7
G. Jones 31 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 4 3 -7.7
G. Sprouse 30 5-8 4-6 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 14 8 -7.9
J. Iturbe 29 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 9 7 -2.9
K. Sebastian 28 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 +5.5
W. Nausadis 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 8 5 -10.8
M. Collins 14 2-7 0-1 1-3 8 5 0 0 0 5 11 +7.2
C. Eagan 11 4-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 8 -1 +1.1
L. Brown 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 +11.1

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Tweedy 32 6-10 2-5 5-8 3 2 1 0 0 19 15 +6.4
J. Cox 28 2-6 0-0 0-2 3 5 0 0 2 4 4 +6.7
J. Ahayere 28 2-5 0-1 4-4 6 1 2 0 3 8 9 +3.6
K. Carlesimo 25 1-8 0-5 2-2 6 3 1 0 3 4 3 -8.6
S. Wright 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 5 +4.7
A. Alekseyenko 24 5-9 1-1 2-5 7 2 0 0 0 13 13 +10.5
A. Odetoyinbo 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 9 -3.2
B. Cummins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.3
E. Brown 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -6.1

* = starter