Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -16 (52-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harissoum Coulibaly | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +18.6 |
| Syriah Daniels | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +14.5 |
| Khady Leye | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +20.9 |
| A'riel Jackson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +12.0 |
| Sania Richardson | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Kaitlyn Duhon | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +5.4 |
| Arek Angui | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +12.9 |
| Angena Belloso | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Ja'Mia Harris | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Clara Koulibaly | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.1 |
| Eva Garabadian | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Baugus | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -16.8 |
| Macie Phifer | 35 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -17.7 |
| Carsyn Swaney | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Savannah Davis | 23 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -16.1 |
| Emily Monson | 22 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -14.0 |
| Alayna Contreras | 20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -5.2 |
| Y. Lin | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -9.3 |
| Kirston Verhulst | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -14.3 |
| N. Dominguez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
* = starter