Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | -3.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Contreras | 40 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | -7.7 |
| M. Phifer | 39 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -8.4 |
| B. Baugus | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -13.3 |
| Y. Lin | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 2 | -6.4 |
| S. Davis | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| C. Swaney | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -3.9 |
| K. Verhulst | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.5 |
| N. Dominguez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Monson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| S. Kabernick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Grimes | 38 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +8.9 |
| R. Hurst | 37 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +20.1 |
| C. Larry | 35 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | +11.5 |
| C. Mathews | 33 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.3 |
| L. Cawthorn | 29 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | +3.7 |
| A. Thomas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +14.5 |
| A. Pfeiffer | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| A. Redd | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.5 |
| L. Mastin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter