Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Rivera | 30 | 8-22 | 8-22 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Aubrey Blankenship | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Jada Knight | 27 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Frances Morris | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| E. Snoddy | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Kaylee Yarbrough | 20 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | +5.7 |
| Avary Brewer | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Alyssa Tarpley | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Martha Bishop | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +11.4 |
| Sierra Godbolt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Carla Baguda | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.7 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Henderson | 32 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Cheyenne Holloman | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Morgan Robinson-Nwagwu | 29 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 24 | -0.5 |
| Kaleigh Addie | 27 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Ariana Dyson | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Savannah Robinson-Holmes | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Eghosa Obasuyi | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -3.6 |
| Nari Powers | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Gabbie Grooms | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Grace Lanier | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 |
* = starter