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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Saint Louis Billikens George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.2 (38.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% -
Points Off/Def 67.6% 32.4% -

Actual: George Mason Patriots +29 (86-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Louis Billikens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McCottry 28 2-9 0-1 2-3 5 3 1 0 3 6 3 -
T. Green 26 1-5 0-4 1-1 1 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
Q. Jones 25 1-7 0-3 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 2 1 -
P. Otieno 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
D. Brown 20 6-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 13 6 -
K. Thames 18 6-10 0-1 0-1 5 0 1 0 3 12 5 -
I. Sharma 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Dunlap 17 3-5 1-3 1-1 0 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
R. Avila 12 1-5 0-3 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
J. Kerr 9 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Hutson 7 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Long 37 10-17 1-6 0-0 3 9 0 0 1 21 15 -
K. Mincy 35 6-11 2-5 1-2 5 5 3 0 1 15 16 -
M. Troutman 30 2-8 1-5 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
N. Ellington 29 5-7 1-1 2-2 10 1 0 0 1 13 16 -
R. Allenspach 22 5-7 2-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 5 13 6 -
E. Kanga 19 5-7 0-0 3-3 11 0 2 0 0 13 19 -
D. Booker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Adebayo 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Presley 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Sivka 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Prosise 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter