Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | -0.2 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -5 (63-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Brown * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +15.0 |
| Hunter Adam * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Parker Friedrichsen * | 30 | 2-12 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Devin Brown * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.7 |
| Ian Platteeuw * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Nick Coval | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +18.6 |
| Sean Logan | 23 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +23.2 |
| JaQualon Roberts | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Manie Joses | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +13.0 |
| RJ Greer | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.9 |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasonte Bowen * | 40 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Frank Mitchell * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | -11.9 |
| Cayden Charles * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 12-14 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | -5.1 |
| Daniel Egbuniwe * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Broek Ostrom * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Darryl Simmons II | 36 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -11.4 |
| Joe Grahovac | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -15.4 |
| Andrew Osasuyi | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
* = starter