Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Jones | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Javon Bennett | 32 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -3.6 |
| Amael L'Etang | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +13.4 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -2.3 |
| Jordan Derkack | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -11.3 |
| Jaiun Simon | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Jacob Conner | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Bryce Heard | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Mike Walz | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +4.2 |
| Will Johnston | 29 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -2.1 |
| Aiden Argabright | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Collin Tanner | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Mikkel Tyne | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +12.0 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 13 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8.7 |
| David Thomas | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Jaylen Robinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter