Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allenspach | 31 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| J. Long | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| K. Mincy | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Troutman | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Booker | 21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| F. Hill | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Adebayo | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Kanga | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Sivka | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Ellington | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Presley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Prosise | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Woodward | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simpson | 34 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| J. Glover-Toscano | 31 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J. Ajogbor | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Haskins | 28 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Williford | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Myers | 22 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| A. Finkley | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Lange | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Kearney | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Amadou | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Rayer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter