Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishan Sharma | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kellen Thames | 28 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Quentin Jones | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robbie Avila | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dion Brown | 22 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Amari McCottry | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Trey Green | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Brady Dunlap | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Paul Otieno | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jaiun Simon | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Amael L'Etang | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 12-15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Keonte Jones | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Derkack | 24 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jacob Conner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter