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2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 โœ— (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—

Actual: George Mason Patriots -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javon Bennett 32 7-11 5-9 3-3 2 2 2 0 0 22 17 -
Amael L'Etang 32 9-11 2-3 1-2 6 1 1 1 0 21 19 -
Jordan Derkack 28 2-7 1-2 4-7 6 5 0 2 2 9 13 -
Jaiun Simon 28 1-2 1-1 4-4 7 4 0 0 1 7 15 -
De'Shayne Montgomery 24 4-9 1-3 1-2 4 4 2 0 1 10 10 -
Keonte Jones 23 4-6 0-0 0-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 7 -
Bryce Heard 17 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Malcolm Thomas 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Sean Pouedet 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jacob Conner 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
Makai Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Will Maxwell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Damon Friery 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jahari Long 38 6-11 4-6 1-1 5 2 1 0 2 17 12 -
Fatt Hill 28 4-10 2-3 5-7 3 2 1 1 2 15 10 -
Kory Mincy 27 2-10 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 4 -4 -
Riley Allenspach 24 3-6 0-0 6-7 5 1 0 0 0 12 12 -
Dola Adebayo 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 1 6 8 -
Malik Presley 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Masai Troutman 18 2-5 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 2 0 7 4 -
Emmanuel Kanga 17 1-1 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
Nick Ellington 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter