Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 35 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| J. Long | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Ellington | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Mincy | 22 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| R. Allenspach | 20 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Booker | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| E. Kanga | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Presley | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Sivka | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Troutman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Adebayo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez | 36 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| W. Johnston | 30 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Tyne | 26 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. Argabright | 25 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Walz | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Beagle | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Tanner | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Daughtry | 9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter