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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: George Mason Patriots +8 (60-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 38 5-16 1-6 2-2 5 4 1 0 3 13 4 -
J. Glover-Toscano 37 5-16 4-13 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 14 3 -
D. Haskins 36 3-14 1-8 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 7 3 -
A. Williford 30 4-11 3-7 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 11 11 -
J. Ajogbor 29 2-3 0-0 0-2 9 2 0 2 2 4 12 -
A. Finkley 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
J. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 0 4 -
K. Myers 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Long 36 7-14 2-3 4-4 3 3 1 1 2 20 12 -
K. Mincy 34 2-9 1-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 1 -
R. Allenspach 26 6-9 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 13 10 -
F. Hill 22 3-9 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 0 -
D. Adebayo 18 3-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
M. Troutman 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
E. Kanga 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 4 8 -
S. Sivka 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Presley 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 0 6 -
D. Booker 8 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 2 1 0 2 3 -
N. Ellington 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter