Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +31 (102-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 35 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -25.5 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 31 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | -22.9 |
| Bryce Heard | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Keonte Jones | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -23.3 |
| Jacob Conner | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Amael L'Etang | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -7.0 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 14 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Jordan Derkack | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -14.6 |
| Damon Friery | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Jaiun Simon | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -14.6 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Jones | 30 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | +22.6 |
| Trey Green | 27 | 8-11 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | +33.4 |
| Robbie Avila | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +23.1 |
| Dion Brown | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +22.8 |
| Amari McCottry | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +15.7 |
| Ishan Sharma | 21 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +17.3 |
| Kellen Thames | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +7.0 |
| Paul Otieno | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +16.2 |
| Brady Dunlap | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Jaden Schertz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Cam Hutson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Jax Kerr | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Isaac Holmes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
* = starter