Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez | 36 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Will Johnston | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Mike Walz | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | -11.4 |
| Collin Tanner | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8.7 |
| Aiden Argabright | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +3.2 |
| David Thomas | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Jaylen Robinson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +13.9 |
| Will Harper III | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Mikkel Tyne | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Djokovic | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +13.0 |
| Brandon Jennings | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Barry Evans | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -11.3 |
| Michael Belle | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Nyk Lewis | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Tyrell Ward | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.4 |
* = starter