Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 38 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | -5.6 |
| Javon Bennett | 37 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Bryce Heard | 33 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Keonte Jones | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -14.3 |
| Jacob Conner | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -4.1 |
| Jaiun Simon | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -8.9 |
| Amael L'Etang | 14 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -0.8 |
| Damon Friery | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 20 | +13.6 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano | 34 | 6-19 | 2-11 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +7.2 |
| Justice Ajogbor | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Austin Williford | 32 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Dasear Haskins | 30 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +7.2 |
| Anthony Finkley | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Khaafiq Myers | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | +4.9 |
| Jaden Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.6 |
* = starter