Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.4% | 13.6% | -10.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Jones | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Robbie Avila | 29 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +17.5 |
| Amari McCottry | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Trey Green | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +13.8 |
| Dion Brown | 26 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +16.7 |
| Ishan Sharma | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -17.4 |
| Brady Dunlap | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -12.4 |
| Kellen Thames | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -11.7 |
| Paul Otieno | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.4 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard | 33 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -4.1 |
| Jimmie Williams | 33 | 11-22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 22 | +12.2 |
| David Dixon | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21 | +12.8 |
| Cameron Crawford | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jakub Necas | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Alex Williams | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Maximus Edwards | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Jake DiMichele | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
| John Hugley IV | 12 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -12.3 |
* = starter