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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simmons II 40 6-17 2-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 14 2 +2.2
D. Bowen 38 3-10 0-1 2-2 6 8 2 0 1 8 13 +2.2
F. Mitchell 37 10-23 0-0 2-2 8 1 3 0 3 22 8 +2.2
C. Charles 32 6-10 3-5 2-2 7 1 2 0 1 17 16 +0.2
D. Egbuniwe 23 0-2 0-1 3-4 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 -10.0
J. Grahovac 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 4 1 0 5 +4.1
A. Osasuyi 12 0-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 1 0 2 +7.1
A. Lonati 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 39 2-8 0-3 7-8 5 7 2 0 1 11 16 -0.1
J. Ajogbor 32 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 0 3 9 +3.8
D. Haskins 31 6-12 1-3 3-3 11 3 2 1 1 16 20 +5.8
J. Glover-Toscano 31 8-11 4-7 3-3 3 0 0 1 2 23 14 +8.2
A. Williford 28 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 8 5 -6.1
A. Finkley 19 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 3 -3 -5.0
K. Myers 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 -1 -10.9
J. Smith 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 2 3 -6.1

* = starter