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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 82.1% 17.9% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Richmond Spiders -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 37 7-19 5-9 0-0 13 2 0 0 1 19 14 +3.5
A. Finkley 29 2-5 2-5 1-2 5 3 1 1 2 7 10 +14.4
D. Haskins 28 5-9 0-2 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 11 9 +5.4
J. Glover-Toscano 27 3-11 2-9 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 8 1 +6.6
J. Ajogbor 24 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 6 12 +8.0
A. Williford 23 5-10 1-6 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 12 3 -13.4
K. Myers 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 4 4 -4.3
J. Smith 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 5 -6.7

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Johnston 29 4-11 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 9 6 -1.4
A. Argabright 28 5-10 1-2 4-6 1 5 1 0 1 15 11 +7.8
M. Walz 22 3-7 2-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 8 10 -7.8
C. Tanner 21 1-4 1-3 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -2.4
M. Tyne 19 3-8 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -5.0
A.J. Lopez 18 1-7 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 2 2 4 0 -18.0
D. Thomas 15 4-8 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 +9.6
J. Daughtry 14 0-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 1 -1 -6.1
A. Roumoglou 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 +7.7
J. Beagle 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 +9.6
J. Robinson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4.3
W. Harper III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0

* = starter