Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -13 (80-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Nyk Lewis | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | -9.3 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | -5.0 |
| Barry Evans | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 22 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | +17.0 |
| Michael Belle | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +9.4 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 20 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 12 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Jordan Tillery | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard | 37 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Jakub Necas | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +7.2 |
| Cameron Crawford | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.4 |
| David Dixon | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | +7.4 |
| Jake DiMichele | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Maximus Edwards | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -19.5 |
| Jimmie Williams | 17 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Alex Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -16.9 |
| Lazar Milosevic | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4.7 |
* = starter