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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 71.8% 28.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown 26 1-6 0-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 1 +5.1
P. Friedrichsen 26 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 9 +11.1
S. Brown 23 4-9 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 13 6 +2.1
H. Adam 20 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 +8.0
J. Scovens 20 1-6 0-2 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 5 2 -1.9
N. Coval 19 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 6 0 -3.1
S. Logan 17 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 1 4 5 0 -0.1
R. Blums 15 3-6 2-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 11 7 -3.1
I. Platteeuw 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 3 -3.0
J. Roberts 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 +8.9
M. Joses 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +6.1

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simpson 37 3-9 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 6 0 -3.8
J. Glover-Toscano 33 1-8 0-6 4-6 2 0 0 0 3 6 -3 -2.4
K. Myers 28 3-9 0-4 3-6 3 1 2 0 2 9 4 -5.9
D. Haskins 28 3-8 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 7 1 -7.9
A. Finkley 26 1-6 1-4 4-4 6 3 1 0 0 7 11 +5.2
J. Ajogbor 26 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 1 11 12 -8.9
A. Williford 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 4 -8.9
J. Smith 9 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 7 6 +3.9

* = starter