Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | +9.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -6 (56-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Brown * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Parker Friedrichsen * | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +7.5 |
| Sam Brown * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Josh Scovens * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Ian Platteeuw * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Hunter Adam | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Nick Coval | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Sean Logan | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Roberts Blums | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -4.2 |
| JaQualon Roberts | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Manie Joses | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.8 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | +5.1 |
| Dasear Haskins * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Anthony Finkley * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Justice Ajogbor * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -9.8 |
| Khaafiq Myers | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Austin Williford | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Jaden Smith | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.0 |
* = starter