Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown | 26 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +5.1 |
| P. Friedrichsen | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +11.1 |
| S. Brown | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | +2.1 |
| H. Adam | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +8.0 |
| J. Scovens | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
| N. Coval | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -3.1 |
| S. Logan | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | -0.1 |
| R. Blums | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -3.1 |
| I. Platteeuw | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.0 |
| J. Roberts | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +8.9 |
| M. Joses | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.1 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simpson | 37 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -3.8 |
| J. Glover-Toscano | 33 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | -2.4 |
| K. Myers | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -5.9 |
| D. Haskins | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -7.9 |
| A. Finkley | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +5.2 |
| J. Ajogbor | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -8.9 |
| A. Williford | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8.9 |
| J. Smith | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +3.9 |
* = starter