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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% - βœ“
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 βœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - βœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darryl Simmons II 40 9-16 4-5 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 22 15 +0.4
Frank Mitchell 39 10-18 0-1 4-5 7 1 1 0 2 24 13 -0.8
Dasonte Bowen 35 4-9 1-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 11 6 -2.9
Cayden Charles 32 4-7 0-0 6-6 6 3 0 0 2 14 14 +2.6
Daniel Egbuniwe 24 3-8 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 5 +4.4
Joseph Grahovac 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2.1
Amar’e Marshall 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -4.3
Achille Lonati 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +4.2

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lazar Djokovic 38 9-12 0-2 5-5 4 1 0 1 1 23 16 -4.9
Barry Evans 31 5-7 0-1 0-1 1 4 1 1 2 10 8 +7.9
Nyk Lewis 30 2-7 1-3 1-1 7 2 0 0 0 6 8 +7.5
Brandon Jennings 29 3-6 0-1 14-15 1 2 0 1 0 20 18 +1.3
Terrence Hill Jr. 27 5-9 3-6 6-6 3 2 1 0 1 19 15 +0.6
Jadrian Tracey 24 4-10 1-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 3 -1.3
Michael Belle 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -6.1

* = starter